In 2024, Sri Lanka’s
import-export market is projected to reflect the country’s economic recovery
and adjustments in trade policies. Export earnings are expected to grow
modestly as global demand recovers and efforts to enhance export
competitiveness continue. Sectors like tea, spices, gems, and IT services are
expected to perform well. However, the overall export growth could be tempered
by external factors, including geopolitical uncertainties and fluctuating
global demand. Imports are projected to rise significantly, driven by improved
domestic economic activity and the relaxation of import restrictions. Essential
goods, investment-related products, and consumer goods are likely to dominate
import categories.
Import expenditure may grow
faster than exports, widening the trade deficit in the short term, The trade
deficit widened in 2024, peaking at $634 million in September, primarily due to
higher import growth outpacing export increases. However, the government
continues to implement measures to boost export competitiveness.
Performance of Merchandise Import & Exports in November
and December.
Industrial Exports:
Earnings from the exports of industrial goods declined in November 2023, with a
significant share of the decline being contributed by garments. Accordingly,
exports of garments to most of the major markets (the USA, the EU, and the UK)
recorded declines. However, earnings from garment exports improved notably in
November 2023, compared to October 2023. Further, declines were recorded in the
exports of animal fodder (mainly, poultry feed and wheat residues); machinery and
mechanical appliances (mainly, electronic equipment); and base metals and
articles (mainly, iron and steel and articles). However, earnings from
petroleum products (due to the increase in volumes of bunker and aviation fuel
exports); food, beverages and tobacco (primarily, vegetable, fruit and nuts preparations);
rubber products (primarily, tires); and transport equipment (primarily, a cruise
ship) increased in November 2024.
Agricultural Exports:
Earnings from the exports of agricultural goods improved in November 2023, compared
to a year ago, led by tea (mainly, instant tea) exports. An increase of
earnings from overall tea exports resulted from the higher export volumes
although the unit price of tea exportsin November 2023 was lower than a year
earlier. Further, export earnings from coconut related products (mainly, fibres
and coconut oil) and spices (mainly, cinnamon) increased due to higher export
volumes. Meanwhile, there was a decline in export earnings from minor
agricultural products (primarily, areca nuts), natural rubber, and vegetables.
Mineral Exports: Earnings from mineral exports
increased substantially in November 2023, compared to November 2022, mainly due
to higher exports of zirconium ores.
Performance of Merchandise Imports November and December
Intermediate Goods:
Expenditure on the importation of intermediate goods declined in November 2023,
compared to a year ago, mainly driven by lower fuel imports. Expenditure on
fuel declined in November 2023 due to lower import prices as well as lower
import volumes of refined petroleum and coal driven by the availability of
sufficient stocks. However, import prices of crude oil increased marginally in
November 2023, compared to November 2022. Meanwhile, the importation of wheat grain;
textiles and textile articles (mainly, fabrics); fertilizer (mainly, urea); and
agricultural inputs recorded notable declines, among others, in November 2023,
compared to November 2022. In contrast, import expenditure on base metals
(mainly, iron and steel), paper and paperboard and articles thereof, diamonds
and precious stones and metals, and mineral products increased.
Investment Goods: Import
expenditure on investment goods increased in November 2023, compared to
November 2022, led by the increase in imports of machinery and equipment
(primarily, electric motors and generating sets). Import expenditure on
building material also increased, mainly owing to high imports of articl es of
iron and steel (primarily, bridges and bridge sections), ceramic products (primarily,
wall tiles), and cement, while expenditure on importation of transport
equipment increased mainly due to high imports of agricultural tractors.
Sri Lanka's import and export market in 2024 continues to
navigate the challenges of economic recovery while capitalizing on its core
industries. The country's export sector remains anchored by key products like
textiles and apparel, tea, spices, rubber products, and gems and jewelry. These
sectors collectively drive a significant portion of foreign exchange earnings,
with the U.S., European Union, and India as major trading partners. Emerging
opportunities include IT services, wellness tourism, and eco-friendly products.
On the import side, Sri Lanka relies heavily on petroleum, machinery, food, and pharmaceuticals. Efforts to diversify import sources are underway as the government implements policy measures to stabilize the economy and optimize foreign reserves. Import costs remain influenced by global price fluctuations and domestic currency valuation.
Economic reforms, including debt restructuring and revised
trade agreements, aim to enhance market competitiveness and streamline trade
processes. The Export Development Board (EDB) also focuses on promoting niche
markets like organic products and high-value crops to expand export
capabilities.


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